Parametric EM (missing data)

import pyagrum as gum
import pyagrum.lib.notebook as gnb

import os
#the bases will be saved in "out/*.csv"
EMnomissing="out/EM_nomissing.csv"
EMmissing="out/EM_missing.csv"

Generating data with missing values (at random)

src=gum.fastBN("A->B<-C->D->E<-B;D->F")
gum.generateSample(src,5000,EMnomissing,random_order=False)
src

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np

def add_missing(src,dst,proba):
  df=pd.read_csv(src)
  mask=np.random.choice([True, False], size=df.shape,p=[proba,1-proba])
  df.mask(mask).to_csv(dst,na_rep='?',index=False,float_format='%.0f')

gum.generateSample(src,5000,EMnomissing,random_order=False)
add_missing(EMnomissing,EMmissing,proba=0.1)

print("No missing")
with open(EMnomissing,"r") as srcfile:
    for _ in range(10):
        print(srcfile.readline(),end="")
print("Missing")
with open(EMmissing,"r") as srcfile:
    for _ in range(10):
        print(srcfile.readline(),end="")

No missing
A,B,C,D,E,F
0,0,0,0,1,1
1,1,0,1,0,0
0,0,0,0,1,1
1,0,0,0,1,1
1,0,0,0,1,0
0,0,0,0,1,0
0,0,0,0,1,1
0,1,0,0,1,0
0,1,0,1,1,0
Missing
A,B,C,D,E,F
0,0,0,0,1,1
1,1,0,1,0,0
0,0,0,0,1,1
1,0,0,0,1,1
1,0,0,0,1,0
0,0,?,0,1,0
?,0,0,0,1,?
0,1,0,0,1,0
0,1,0,1,1,0

Learning with missing data

learner = gum.BNLearner(EMmissing,src, ["?"])
print(f"Missing values in {EMmissing} : {learner.hasMissingValues()}")

Missing values in out/EM_missing.csv : True

try:
  learner.learnParameters(src.dag())
except gum.MissingValueInDatabase:
  print("Learning is not possible without EM if there are some missing values.")

Learning is not possible without EM if there are some missing values.

learner.useEM(1e-3)
learner.useSmoothingPrior()
print(learner)
bn=learner.learnParameters(src.dag())
gnb.flow.row(gnb.getInference(src),gnb.getInference(bn),captions=["Source",f"Estimation EM in {learner.nbrIterations()} iteration(s)"])

Filename       : out/EM_missing.csv
Size           : (5000,6)
Variables      : A[2], B[2], C[2], D[2], E[2], F[2]
Induced types  : False
Missing values : True
Algorithm      : MIIC
Correction     : MDL
Prior          : Smoothing
Prior weight   : 1.000000
EM             : True
EM epsilon     : 0.001000

Source

Estimation EM in 7 iteration(s)

Learning with smaller error (and no smoothing)

learner = gum.BNLearner(EMmissing,src, ["?"])
learner.setVerbosity(True)
learner.useEM(1e-8)
bn2=learner.learnParameters(src.dag())
gnb.flow.row(gnb.getInference(src),gnb.getInference(bn2),captions=["Source",f"Estimation EM in {learner.nbrIterations()} iteration(s)"])

Source

Estimation EM in 15 iteration(s)

import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
plt.plot(np.arange(1,1+learner.nbrIterations()),learner.history())
plt.xticks(np.arange(1, 1+learner.nbrIterations(), step=2))
plt.title("Error during EM iterations");